Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BlackRock, Inc. (BLK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$688.93 - $1,402.91$963.75
Multi-Stage$567.59 - $618.84$592.76
Blended Fair Value$778.25
Current Price$1,165.87
Upside-33.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.15%8.77%19.8019.3819.0916.2614.4313.3812.5710.619.869.42
YoY Growth--2.17%1.51%17.39%12.70%7.82%6.50%18.41%7.57%4.67%10.31%
Dividend Yield--2.09%2.34%2.85%2.13%1.91%3.04%2.87%1.96%2.57%2.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,096.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,288.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,808.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,219.20762.00457.20
Cash Retained (M)2,808.002,808.002,808.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,219.20-762.00-457.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,588.802,046.002,350.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)156.63156.63156.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.1413.0615.01
LTM Dividend per Share20.9920.9920.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.1413.0615.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend31.1434.0636.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.02%6.02%7.02%
Fair Value$688.93$963.75$1,402.91
Upside / Downside-40.91%-17.34%20.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,096.006,462.746,851.547,263.737,700.728,164.008,408.92
Payout Ratio53.94%61.15%68.36%75.57%82.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,288.003,951.944,683.865,489.556,375.237,347.607,778.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.02%6.02%7.02%
Year 1 PV (M)3,566.493,600.453,634.41
Year 2 PV (M)3,814.753,887.743,961.43
Year 3 PV (M)4,034.864,151.234,269.81
Year 4 PV (M)4,228.814,392.204,560.28
Year 5 PV (M)4,398.444,611.894,833.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)68,855.5172,196.8875,666.72
Equity Value (M)88,898.8792,840.3996,926.20
Shares Outstanding (M)156.63156.63156.63
Fair Value$567.59$592.76$618.84
Upside / Downside-51.32%-49.16%-46.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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