Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.77 - $215.85$104.46
Multi-Stage$42.37 - $46.25$44.28
Blended Fair Value$74.37
Current Price$30.46
Upside144.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.88%12.74%1.141.060.980.900.860.860.780.740.420.39
YoY Growth--7.38%8.03%8.97%4.88%0.38%9.70%5.90%74.93%8.89%12.64%
Dividend Yield--3.87%4.14%3.72%3.15%2.92%4.96%2.95%2.66%1.27%1.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.234.522.71
Cash Retained (M)16.5916.5916.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.23-4.52-2.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.3612.0713.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.6015.6015.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.770.89
LTM Dividend per Share1.251.251.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.770.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.852.032.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$63.77$104.46$215.85
Upside / Downside109.35%242.94%608.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.1638.5141.0143.6846.5149.5451.02
Payout Ratio54.11%61.28%68.46%75.64%82.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.5623.6028.0833.0438.5244.5847.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)21.5321.7421.94
Year 2 PV (M)23.3823.8224.27
Year 3 PV (M)25.1025.8226.55
Year 4 PV (M)26.7027.7328.78
Year 5 PV (M)28.2029.5630.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)536.09561.99588.87
Equity Value (M)661.00690.65721.39
Shares Outstanding (M)15.6015.6015.60
Fair Value$42.37$44.28$46.25
Upside / Downside39.12%45.36%51.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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