Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Bunge Global S.A. (BG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$182.56 - $396.27$261.32
Multi-Stage$190.29 - $208.46$199.20
Blended Fair Value$230.26
Current Price$80.28
Upside186.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.96%7.29%2.762.802.552.112.062.071.981.811.631.51
YoY Growth---1.31%9.74%20.76%2.48%-0.35%4.43%9.72%10.76%7.73%10.70%
Dividend Yield--3.62%2.74%2.67%1.91%2.60%5.04%3.75%2.44%2.06%2.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,323.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)415.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)908.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)264.60165.3899.23
Cash Retained (M)908.00908.00908.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-264.60-165.38-99.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)643.40742.63808.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)136.76136.76136.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.705.435.91
LTM Dividend per Share3.033.033.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.705.435.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.748.468.95
WACC / Discount Rate7.62%7.62%7.62%
Growth Rate3.24%4.24%5.24%
Fair Value$182.56$261.32$396.27
Upside / Downside127.41%225.52%393.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,323.001,379.091,437.561,498.501,562.031,628.261,677.11
Payout Ratio31.37%43.09%54.82%66.55%78.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)415.00594.31788.08997.211,222.661,465.431,551.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.62%7.62%7.62%
Growth Rate3.24%4.24%5.24%
Year 1 PV (M)546.95552.25557.55
Year 2 PV (M)667.49680.48693.60
Year 3 PV (M)777.32800.12823.37
Year 4 PV (M)877.11911.59947.07
Year 5 PV (M)967.491,015.271,064.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,187.6623,283.2524,421.70
Equity Value (M)26,024.0227,242.9628,508.20
Shares Outstanding (M)136.76136.76136.76
Fair Value$190.29$199.20$208.46
Upside / Downside137.03%148.14%159.66%

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