Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Banco do Brasil S.A. (BBAS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$123.80 - $446.75$393.90
Multi-Stage$58.48 - $63.88$61.13
Blended Fair Value$227.52
Current Price$22.09
Upside929.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.19%31.41%2.602.272.071.130.740.330.000.000.000.27
YoY Growth--14.42%9.71%82.96%53.71%123.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%60.80%
Dividend Yield--9.21%8.29%10.89%6.62%4.75%2.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,824.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,774.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,049.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,564.911,603.07961.84
Cash Retained (M)3,049.803,049.803,049.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,564.91-1,603.07-961.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)484.891,446.732,087.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,708.945,708.945,708.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.250.37
LTM Dividend per Share1.711.711.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.250.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.801.972.08
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$123.80$393.90$446.75
Upside / Downside460.45%1,683.17%1,922.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,824.5613,658.1514,545.9315,491.4216,498.3617,570.7618,097.88
Payout Ratio76.22%78.98%81.73%84.49%87.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,774.7610,786.5611,888.6013,088.3314,393.8015,813.6816,740.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,983.3110,077.9410,172.56
Year 2 PV (M)10,183.8910,377.8610,573.67
Year 3 PV (M)10,376.6910,674.5610,978.09
Year 4 PV (M)10,561.8810,968.0611,385.85
Year 5 PV (M)10,739.6511,258.3811,796.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)282,011.13295,632.37309,774.93
Equity Value (M)333,856.55348,989.18364,682.07
Shares Outstanding (M)5,708.945,708.945,708.94
Fair Value$58.48$61.13$63.88
Upside / Downside164.73%176.73%189.18%

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