Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Industry

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Industrias Bachoco, S.A.B. de C.V. (BACHOCOB.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$141.05 - $349.21$211.04
Multi-Stage$97.20 - $106.25$101.65
Blended Fair Value$156.34
Current Price$73.00
Upside114.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS2.90%5.06%1.641.641.421.321.401.421.301.301.500.00
YoY Growth--0.00%15.43%7.56%-5.74%-1.41%9.23%0.00%-13.26%69,069.23%-99.78%
Dividend Yield--2.25%1.68%1.83%1.94%2.08%1.91%1.38%1.53%2.03%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,818.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)491.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,326.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)763.67477.29286.38
Cash Retained (M)3,326.853,326.853,326.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-763.67-477.29-286.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,563.182,849.563,040.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)598.76598.76598.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.284.765.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.820.820.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.284.765.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.105.585.90
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$141.05$211.04$349.21
Upside / Downside93.22%189.10%378.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,818.354,066.544,330.874,612.374,912.185,231.475,388.41
Payout Ratio12.87%28.30%43.72%59.15%74.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)491.501,150.741,893.602,728.163,663.234,708.324,984.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,042.791,052.671,062.55
Year 2 PV (M)1,554.981,584.601,614.50
Year 3 PV (M)2,030.152,088.432,147.82
Year 4 PV (M)2,470.262,565.262,662.97
Year 5 PV (M)2,877.163,016.133,160.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)48,224.2350,553.4752,971.87
Equity Value (M)58,199.5760,860.5663,620.12
Shares Outstanding (M)598.76598.76598.76
Fair Value$97.20$101.65$106.25
Upside / Downside33.15%39.24%45.55%

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