Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Sector

Atrium Ljungberg AB (publ) (ATRLJ-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.81 - $26.39$21.21
Multi-Stage$31.55 - $34.67$33.08
Blended Fair Value$27.14
Current Price$31.67
Upside-14.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.91%1.06%0.701.061.041.021.031.000.950.830.750.70
YoY Growth---33.98%1.67%2.66%-1.39%2.85%5.34%13.88%11.21%7.50%10.83%
Dividend Yield--2.11%2.58%3.08%2.64%3.29%3.23%2.95%3.39%2.75%2.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,075.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)448.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)627.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)215.00134.3880.63
Cash Retained (M)627.00627.00627.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-215.00-134.38-80.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)412.00492.63546.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)630.53630.53630.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.650.780.87
LTM Dividend per Share0.710.710.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.650.780.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.361.491.58
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate-0.94%0.06%1.06%
Fair Value$16.81$21.21$26.39
Upside / Downside-46.93%-33.04%-16.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,075.001,075.611,076.221,076.831,077.441,078.051,110.39
Payout Ratio41.67%51.34%61.00%70.67%80.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)448.00552.21656.54760.99865.56970.241,027.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate-0.94%0.06%1.06%
Year 1 PV (M)510.48515.63520.78
Year 2 PV (M)561.05572.43583.93
Year 3 PV (M)601.15619.54638.31
Year 4 PV (M)632.08657.99684.69
Year 5 PV (M)654.97688.71723.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,931.9517,804.0418,711.70
Equity Value (M)19,891.6820,858.3421,863.23
Shares Outstanding (M)630.53630.53630.53
Fair Value$31.55$33.08$34.67
Upside / Downside-0.39%4.45%9.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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