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Definitive Analysis

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PT Anabatic Technologies Tbk (ATIC.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,000.90 - $15,368.87$11,428.10
Multi-Stage$2,052.71 - $2,245.91$2,147.54
Blended Fair Value$6,787.82
Current Price$394.00
Upside1,622.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.007.4546.4710.844.747.226.95
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-83.98%328.73%128.76%-34.37%3.90%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.05%6.45%1.24%0.64%1.00%1.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)214,666.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)96,150.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)118,516.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42,933.3126,833.3216,099.99
Cash Retained (M)118,516.18118,516.18118,516.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-42,933.31-26,833.32-16,099.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)75,582.8791,682.86102,416.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,769.922,769.922,769.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share27.2933.1036.97
LTM Dividend per Share34.7134.7134.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share27.2933.1036.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend62.0067.8171.69
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.19%6.19%7.19%
Fair Value$4,000.90$11,428.10$15,368.87
Upside / Downside915.46%2,800.53%3,800.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)214,666.57227,964.66242,086.54257,083.24273,008.95289,921.22298,618.85
Payout Ratio44.79%53.83%62.87%71.92%80.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)96,150.38122,718.98152,210.32184,884.57221,022.90260,929.10276,222.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.19%6.19%7.19%
Year 1 PV (M)113,796.85114,878.62115,960.40
Year 2 PV (M)130,882.37133,382.57135,906.44
Year 3 PV (M)147,419.93151,664.23155,989.21
Year 4 PV (M)163,422.30169,725.56176,209.42
Year 5 PV (M)178,901.95187,568.53196,567.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,951,435.515,191,298.835,440,369.16
Equity Value (M)5,685,858.925,948,518.346,221,002.40
Shares Outstanding (M)2,769.922,769.922,769.92
Fair Value$2,052.71$2,147.54$2,245.91
Upside / Downside420.99%445.06%470.03%

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