Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk (ASSA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,397.77 - $20,456.12$15,756.92
Multi-Stage$2,581.83 - $2,822.34$2,699.89
Blended Fair Value$9,228.41
Current Price$845.00
Upside992.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%17.21%40.531.270.000.000.000.0011.056.443.684.60
YoY Growth--3,096.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%71.43%75.00%-20.00%-44.44%
Dividend Yield--7.65%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.38%2.55%1.47%4.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)379,667.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)204,394.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)175,273.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75,933.4847,458.4328,475.06
Cash Retained (M)175,273.17175,273.17175,273.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-75,933.48-47,458.43-28,475.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)99,339.69127,814.74146,798.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,691.143,691.143,691.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share26.9134.6339.77
LTM Dividend per Share55.3755.3755.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share26.9134.6339.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend82.2990.0095.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,397.77$15,756.92$20,456.12
Upside / Downside538.79%1,764.72%2,320.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)379,667.42404,345.80430,628.28458,619.12488,429.36520,177.27535,782.58
Payout Ratio53.84%61.07%68.30%75.53%82.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)204,394.25246,926.14294,123.62346,413.50404,258.40468,159.54495,598.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)228,374.04230,538.72232,703.40
Year 2 PV (M)251,587.59256,379.63261,216.88
Year 3 PV (M)274,052.52281,919.58289,935.78
Year 4 PV (M)295,786.05307,161.15318,861.23
Year 5 PV (M)316,805.11332,106.91347,994.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,163,281.388,557,570.938,966,950.86
Equity Value (M)9,529,886.699,965,676.9210,417,662.50
Shares Outstanding (M)3,691.143,691.143,691.14
Fair Value$2,581.83$2,699.89$2,822.34
Upside / Downside205.54%219.51%234.01%

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