Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Aberforth Split Level Income ZDP 2024 (ASIZ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$207.37 - $316.38$258.41
Multi-Stage$442.81 - $487.15$464.55
Blended Fair Value$361.48
Current Price$1.20
Upside30,023.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%6.515.004.986.056.380.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--30.22%0.28%-17.69%-5.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--542.22%430.73%437.08%571.08%569.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.474.042.43
Cash Retained (M)17.0517.0517.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.47-4.04-2.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.5813.0114.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.391.391.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.639.3810.55
LTM Dividend per Share11.0411.0411.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.639.3810.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.6720.4221.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$207.37$258.41$316.38
Upside / Downside17,180.83%21,434.56%26,265.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.3432.0231.7031.3831.0730.7631.68
Payout Ratio47.29%55.83%64.37%72.92%81.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.3017.8820.4122.8825.3127.6829.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.5716.7416.91
Year 2 PV (M)17.5217.8818.25
Year 3 PV (M)18.2118.7719.35
Year 4 PV (M)18.6619.4420.23
Year 5 PV (M)18.9219.9020.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)523.84551.12579.52
Equity Value (M)613.72643.85675.18
Shares Outstanding (M)1.391.391.39
Fair Value$442.81$464.55$487.15
Upside / Downside36,800.66%38,612.13%40,496.00%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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