Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Asuransi Dayin Mitra Tbk (ASDM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,095.97 - $1,921.87$1,447.70
Multi-Stage$1,744.16 - $1,912.87$1,826.91
Blended Fair Value$1,637.31
Current Price$555.00
Upside195.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.85%3.45%40.0033.0036.0047.5039.0036.5034.5034.5034.0032.50
YoY Growth--21.21%-8.33%-24.21%21.79%6.85%5.80%0.00%1.47%4.62%14.04%
Dividend Yield--8.51%6.71%7.74%9.60%8.43%7.68%6.39%6.80%7.23%5.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31,836.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19,200.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,636.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,367.343,979.592,387.75
Cash Retained (M)12,636.7012,636.7012,636.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,367.34-3,979.59-2,387.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,269.368,657.1110,248.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)384.00384.00384.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.3322.5426.69
LTM Dividend per Share50.0050.0050.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.3322.5426.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend66.3372.5476.69
WACC / Discount Rate6.99%6.99%6.99%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Fair Value$1,095.97$1,447.70$1,921.87
Upside / Downside97.47%160.85%246.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31,836.7032,438.0033,050.6633,674.8934,310.9134,958.9536,007.72
Payout Ratio60.31%66.25%72.18%78.12%84.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19,200.0021,488.9523,857.5126,307.8728,842.2931,463.0533,307.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.99%6.99%6.99%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Year 1 PV (M)19,887.0720,084.1920,281.30
Year 2 PV (M)20,433.2020,840.2721,251.35
Year 3 PV (M)20,852.2321,478.4622,117.09
Year 4 PV (M)21,156.9122,008.2822,885.10
Year 5 PV (M)21,358.9022,438.6423,561.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)566,067.53594,683.26624,444.74
Equity Value (M)669,755.84701,533.09734,541.18
Shares Outstanding (M)384.00384.00384.00
Fair Value$1,744.16$1,826.91$1,912.87
Upside / Downside214.26%229.17%244.66%

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