Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Amundi S.A. (AMUN.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$391.09 - $1,756.94$684.23
Multi-Stage$296.84 - $325.02$310.67
Blended Fair Value$497.45
Current Price$68.70
Upside624.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.79%13.98%4.164.134.142.910.003.142.662.211.721.14
YoY Growth--0.59%-0.07%41.92%0.00%-100.00%18.16%20.38%28.03%51.60%1.16%
Dividend Yield--6.48%6.71%7.80%4.02%0.00%4.49%5.75%3.12%3.57%2.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,550.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)830.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,720.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)510.12318.83191.30
Cash Retained (M)1,720.061,720.061,720.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-510.12-318.83-191.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,209.931,401.231,528.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.94200.94200.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.026.977.61
LTM Dividend per Share4.134.134.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.026.977.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.1511.1111.74
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.42%5.42%6.42%
Fair Value$391.09$684.23$1,756.94
Upside / Downside469.28%895.97%2,457.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,550.612,688.752,834.382,987.893,149.723,320.323,419.93
Payout Ratio32.56%44.05%55.54%67.03%78.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)830.551,184.411,574.152,002.642,472.932,988.283,163.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.42%5.42%6.42%
Year 1 PV (M)1,095.121,105.611,116.09
Year 2 PV (M)1,345.761,371.661,397.81
Year 3 PV (M)1,583.011,628.931,675.73
Year 4 PV (M)1,807.391,877.631,949.90
Year 5 PV (M)2,019.412,117.982,220.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,795.5654,323.7756,949.76
Equity Value (M)59,646.2562,425.5765,309.64
Shares Outstanding (M)200.94200.94200.94
Fair Value$296.84$310.67$325.02
Upside / Downside332.08%352.21%373.10%

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