Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

NSC Groupe S.A. (ALNSC.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$242.50 - $357.05$297.49
Multi-Stage$420.16 - $462.77$441.04
Blended Fair Value$369.27
Current Price$74.00
Upside399.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.002.312.752.502.752.60
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-16.08%9.97%-9.06%5.84%7.92%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.12%3.53%3.56%3.57%3.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.871.801.08
Cash Retained (M)13.8513.8513.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.87-1.80-1.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.9712.0512.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.460.460.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share23.7826.1127.67
LTM Dividend per Share1.131.131.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share23.7826.1127.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.9127.2428.80
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$242.50$297.49$357.05
Upside / Downside227.70%302.01%382.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14.3714.2214.0813.9413.8013.6614.07
Payout Ratio3.63%20.90%38.18%55.45%72.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.522.975.387.7310.0412.3013.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2.722.752.78
Year 2 PV (M)4.514.604.70
Year 3 PV (M)5.946.126.31
Year 4 PV (M)7.077.367.66
Year 5 PV (M)7.938.348.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)165.70174.33183.31
Equity Value (M)193.87203.51213.53
Shares Outstanding (M)0.460.460.46
Fair Value$420.16$441.04$462.77
Upside / Downside467.78%496.01%525.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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