Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.99 - $18.85$15.84
Multi-Stage$22.01 - $24.17$23.07
Blended Fair Value$19.45
Current Price$7.93
Upside145.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.020.000.000.000.001.701.571.42
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%8.17%10.82%22.70%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%31.35%26.62%25.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)243.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)155.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.7330.4618.28
Cash Retained (M)155.46155.46155.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.73-30.46-18.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.72125.00137.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)137.46137.46137.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.780.911.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.780.911.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.421.551.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.70%8.70%8.70%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.99$15.84$18.85
Upside / Downside63.84%99.69%137.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)243.67241.24238.82236.43234.07231.73238.68
Payout Ratio36.20%46.96%57.72%68.48%79.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.21113.29137.85161.91185.48208.56220.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.70%8.70%8.70%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)103.17104.22105.28
Year 2 PV (M)114.33116.67119.04
Year 3 PV (M)122.29126.08129.93
Year 4 PV (M)127.58132.87138.32
Year 5 PV (M)130.65137.45144.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,427.762,554.182,685.81
Equity Value (M)3,025.783,171.473,322.92
Shares Outstanding (M)137.46137.46137.46
Fair Value$22.01$23.07$24.17
Upside / Downside177.58%190.94%204.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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