Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Abrdn Emerging Markets Equity Income Fund Inc (AEF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.27 - $18.72$15.29
Multi-Stage$26.54 - $29.18$27.83
Blended Fair Value$21.56
Current Price$5.94
Upside263.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.50%6.94%0.390.400.520.000.000.180.000.040.080.13
YoY Growth---2.56%-22.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-45.00%-38.24%-35.24%
Dividend Yield--7.59%7.92%10.07%0.00%0.00%2.41%0.00%0.49%1.35%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.528.455.07
Cash Retained (M)25.9725.9725.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.52-8.45-5.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.4517.5220.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.9448.9448.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.360.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.850.850.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.360.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.101.211.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.27$15.29$18.72
Upside / Downside106.61%157.46%215.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67.5966.9166.2465.5864.9264.2766.20
Payout Ratio61.57%67.26%72.94%78.63%84.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.6245.0048.3251.5754.7457.8561.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)41.7042.1342.56
Year 2 PV (M)41.4942.3443.20
Year 3 PV (M)41.0342.3043.60
Year 4 PV (M)40.3742.0443.76
Year 5 PV (M)39.5341.5943.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,094.631,151.631,210.98
Equity Value (M)1,298.761,362.041,427.84
Shares Outstanding (M)48.9448.9448.94
Fair Value$26.54$27.83$29.18
Upside / Downside346.79%368.56%391.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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