Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.19 - $12.53$10.88
Multi-Stage$11.18 - $12.27$11.71
Blended Fair Value$11.30
Current Price$39.13
Upside-71.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--74.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)117.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)116.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.4214.648.78
Cash Retained (M)116.38116.38116.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.42-14.64-8.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.96101.74107.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)67.3467.3467.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.511.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.511.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.391.521.61
WACC / Discount Rate12.84%12.84%12.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.19$10.88$12.53
Upside / Downside-76.53%-72.19%-67.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)117.11115.94114.78113.63112.49111.37114.71
Payout Ratio0.62%18.50%36.37%54.25%72.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.7321.4541.7561.6481.14100.23106.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.84%12.84%12.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.8119.0119.20
Year 2 PV (M)32.1332.7933.45
Year 3 PV (M)41.6142.9044.21
Year 4 PV (M)48.0550.0452.09
Year 5 PV (M)52.0754.7857.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)559.98589.14619.50
Equity Value (M)752.65788.65826.06
Shares Outstanding (M)67.3467.3467.34
Fair Value$11.18$11.71$12.27
Upside / Downside-71.44%-70.07%-68.65%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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