Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Accelleron Industries AG (ACLN.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.95 - $35.65$30.20
Multi-Stage$40.64 - $44.53$42.54
Blended Fair Value$36.37
Current Price$70.33
Upside-48.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.940.810.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--15.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.83%2.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)343.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)182.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)160.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68.6242.8925.73
Cash Retained (M)160.86160.86160.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-68.62-42.89-25.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.24117.98135.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.9193.9193.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.261.44
LTM Dividend per Share1.941.941.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.261.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.923.203.38
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$24.95$30.20$35.65
Upside / Downside-64.52%-57.06%-49.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)343.10339.67336.27332.91329.58326.28336.07
Payout Ratio53.11%60.49%67.87%75.25%82.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)182.23205.47228.22250.50272.31293.65310.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)185.78187.68189.57
Year 2 PV (M)186.58190.41194.28
Year 3 PV (M)185.17190.90196.74
Year 4 PV (M)182.01189.55197.33
Year 5 PV (M)177.47186.71196.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,899.323,050.303,207.49
Equity Value (M)3,816.333,995.544,181.74
Shares Outstanding (M)93.9193.9193.91
Fair Value$40.64$42.54$44.53
Upside / Downside-42.22%-39.51%-36.69%

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