Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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American Coastal Insurance Corporation (ACIC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.58 - $21.92$18.05
Multi-Stage$25.63 - $28.18$26.88
Blended Fair Value$22.46
Current Price$11.39
Upside97.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.58%21.87%0.490.000.050.210.210.210.210.180.100.09
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-74.99%0.36%0.32%0.12%14.20%80.76%15.62%28.96%
Dividend Yield--4.20%0.00%1.85%6.30%2.88%2.24%1.26%0.95%0.63%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.0410.656.39
Cash Retained (M)61.1261.1261.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.04-10.65-6.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.0750.4654.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.6449.6449.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.021.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.021.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.371.501.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-1.43%-0.43%0.57%
Fair Value$14.58$18.05$21.92
Upside / Downside27.98%58.46%92.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85.2284.8584.4984.1383.7783.4185.91
Payout Ratio28.28%40.63%52.97%65.31%77.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.1034.4744.7554.9565.0575.0779.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-1.43%-0.43%0.57%
Year 1 PV (M)31.6431.9632.28
Year 2 PV (M)37.7038.4739.25
Year 3 PV (M)42.4843.7945.12
Year 4 PV (M)46.1648.0750.03
Year 5 PV (M)48.8951.4354.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,065.351,120.491,177.90
Equity Value (M)1,272.231,334.211,398.64
Shares Outstanding (M)49.6449.6449.64
Fair Value$25.63$26.88$28.18
Upside / Downside125.01%135.97%147.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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