Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.21 - $111.93$62.39
Multi-Stage$42.51 - $46.61$44.52
Blended Fair Value$53.46
Current Price$19.06
Upside180.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%23.94%0.510.487.210.360.160.000.000.430.000.00
YoY Growth--6.84%-93.38%1,911.57%121.34%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.43%2.33%36.28%1.23%0.97%0.00%0.00%2.80%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)977.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)325.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)651.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)195.46122.1673.30
Cash Retained (M)651.60651.60651.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-195.46-122.16-73.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)456.14529.44578.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)578.38578.38578.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.790.921.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.560.560.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.790.921.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.481.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Fair Value$40.21$62.39$111.93
Upside / Downside110.97%227.36%487.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)977.301,018.141,060.681,105.011,151.181,199.291,235.26
Payout Ratio33.33%44.66%56.00%67.33%78.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)325.70454.71593.94744.01905.581,079.361,142.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Year 1 PV (M)422.28426.37430.46
Year 2 PV (M)512.23522.21532.28
Year 3 PV (M)595.88613.38631.21
Year 4 PV (M)673.55700.05727.31
Year 5 PV (M)745.54782.37820.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,638.4622,707.5823,818.54
Equity Value (M)24,587.9425,751.9526,960.45
Shares Outstanding (M)578.38578.38578.38
Fair Value$42.51$44.52$46.61
Upside / Downside123.04%133.60%144.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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