Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

AAK AB (publ.) (AAK.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$268.00 - $613.74$390.77
Multi-Stage$195.42 - $213.23$204.16
Blended Fair Value$297.47
Current Price$244.60
Upside21.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.40%14.40%3.682.742.482.262.061.801.581.421.261.09
YoY Growth--34.45%10.53%9.49%10.07%14.29%13.83%11.35%12.80%15.49%13.60%
Dividend Yield--1.32%1.07%1.32%1.29%1.04%1.11%1.14%1.16%1.28%1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,409.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,298.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,111.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)681.80426.13255.68
Cash Retained (M)2,111.002,111.002,111.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-681.80-426.13-255.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,429.201,684.881,855.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)260.62260.62260.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.486.467.12
LTM Dividend per Share4.984.984.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.486.467.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.4611.4512.10
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$268.00$390.77$613.74
Upside / Downside9.57%59.76%150.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,409.003,630.593,866.574,117.904,385.564,670.634,810.74
Payout Ratio38.08%48.46%58.85%69.23%79.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,298.001,759.402,275.302,850.833,491.574,203.564,449.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,589.941,605.011,620.08
Year 2 PV (M)1,858.111,893.501,929.23
Year 3 PV (M)2,103.882,164.272,225.81
Year 4 PV (M)2,328.552,418.102,510.21
Year 5 PV (M)2,533.372,655.732,782.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,515.9642,472.8944,504.73
Equity Value (M)50,929.8053,209.5055,572.82
Shares Outstanding (M)260.62260.62260.62
Fair Value$195.42$204.16$213.23
Upside / Downside-20.11%-16.53%-12.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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