Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

A2B Australia Limited (A2B.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.35 - $3.22$2.79
Multi-Stage$4.33 - $4.77$4.54
Blended Fair Value$3.67
Current Price$2.14
Upside71.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-59.18%-41.87%0.000.000.000.080.080.140.200.200.200.26
YoY Growth--130.12%23.88%-99.31%0.73%-42.86%-30.00%0.00%0.00%-25.93%-25.00%
Dividend Yield--0.10%0.06%0.04%9.73%4.40%5.71%7.74%6.13%5.35%6.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.307.064.24
Cash Retained (M)50.4350.4350.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.30-7.06-4.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.1343.3746.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)123.08123.08123.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.350.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.350.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate-5.68%-4.68%-3.68%
Fair Value$2.35$2.79$3.22
Upside / Downside10.01%30.46%50.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.4953.8551.3348.9346.6444.4645.79
Payout Ratio10.73%26.59%42.44%58.29%74.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.0614.3221.7828.5234.5840.0142.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate-5.68%-4.68%-3.68%
Year 1 PV (M)12.9913.1313.27
Year 2 PV (M)17.9418.3218.71
Year 3 PV (M)21.3222.0022.70
Year 4 PV (M)23.4624.4725.51
Year 5 PV (M)24.6325.9627.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)431.99455.38479.77
Equity Value (M)532.32559.26587.31
Shares Outstanding (M)123.08123.08123.08
Fair Value$4.33$4.54$4.77
Upside / Downside102.11%112.33%122.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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