Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Genki Global Dining Concepts Corp (9828.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,332.81 - $16,716.90$9,668.89
Multi-Stage$4,348.63 - $4,750.72$4,546.03
Blended Fair Value$7,107.46
Current Price$4,215.00
Upside68.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS39.76%34.92%79.9615.007.507.502.5015.0010.506.507.505.00
YoY Growth--433.14%100.01%0.00%200.00%-83.33%42.85%61.53%-13.34%49.99%24.99%
Dividend Yield--1.90%0.45%0.45%0.59%0.20%1.30%0.66%0.37%0.66%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,786.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,236.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,550.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)957.20598.25358.95
Cash Retained (M)3,550.003,550.003,550.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-957.20-598.25-358.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,592.802,951.753,191.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.6617.6617.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share146.83167.16180.71
LTM Dividend per Share70.0070.0070.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share146.83167.16180.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend216.83237.16250.71
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,332.81$9,668.89$16,716.90
Upside / Downside50.24%129.39%296.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,786.005,097.095,428.405,781.256,157.036,557.236,753.95
Payout Ratio25.83%38.66%51.50%64.33%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,236.001,970.552,795.373,719.084,751.075,901.516,247.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,789.031,805.981,822.94
Year 2 PV (M)2,304.082,347.972,392.27
Year 3 PV (M)2,783.072,862.962,944.37
Year 4 PV (M)3,227.823,351.963,479.64
Year 5 PV (M)3,640.083,815.903,998.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,044.7866,089.8669,251.49
Equity Value (M)76,788.8680,274.6383,889.15
Shares Outstanding (M)17.6617.6617.66
Fair Value$4,348.63$4,546.03$4,750.72
Upside / Downside3.17%7.85%12.71%

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