Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.94 - $59.46$50.58
Multi-Stage$62.70 - $68.87$65.72
Blended Fair Value$58.15
Current Price$47.86
Upside21.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.000.751.000.001.240.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--33.33%-25.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.22%2.37%3.08%0.00%3.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.206.383.83
Cash Retained (M)42.0142.0142.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.20-6.38-3.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.8135.6438.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.008.008.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.974.454.77
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.974.454.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.105.585.90
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$41.94$50.58$59.46
Upside / Downside-12.37%5.69%24.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51.0150.5050.0049.5049.0048.5149.97
Payout Ratio17.64%32.11%46.59%61.06%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.0016.2223.2930.2237.0143.6646.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.6114.7614.90
Year 2 PV (M)18.8919.2819.67
Year 3 PV (M)22.0822.7623.46
Year 4 PV (M)24.3525.3626.40
Year 5 PV (M)25.8727.2228.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)396.02416.64438.11
Equity Value (M)501.81526.01551.16
Shares Outstanding (M)8.008.008.00
Fair Value$62.70$65.72$68.87
Upside / Downside31.01%37.32%43.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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