Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KDDI Corporation (9433.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,788.95 - $5,348.88$3,815.49
Multi-Stage$5,541.01 - $6,094.20$5,812.26
Blended Fair Value$4,813.87
Current Price$2,360.50
Upside103.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.22%8.64%72.5875.2972.6468.6669.8365.0257.6155.6346.9141.20
YoY Growth---3.59%3.64%5.81%-1.68%7.39%12.87%3.55%18.58%13.88%30.03%
Dividend Yield--2.93%3.47%3.26%3.20%4.03%4.02%4.18%3.67%3.15%2.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)712,198.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)290,382.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)421,816.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)142,439.6089,024.7553,414.85
Cash Retained (M)421,816.00421,816.00421,816.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-142,439.60-89,024.75-53,414.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)279,376.40332,791.25368,401.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,952.503,952.503,952.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share70.6884.2093.21
LTM Dividend per Share73.4773.4773.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share70.6884.2093.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend144.15157.67166.67
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate0.47%1.47%2.47%
Fair Value$2,788.95$3,815.49$5,348.88
Upside / Downside18.15%61.64%126.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)712,198.00722,696.53733,349.81744,160.14755,129.82766,261.21789,249.04
Payout Ratio40.77%50.62%60.46%70.31%80.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)290,382.00365,815.40443,409.63523,212.00605,270.76689,635.08730,055.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate0.47%1.47%2.47%
Year 1 PV (M)342,783.90346,195.56349,607.23
Year 2 PV (M)389,333.69397,122.19404,987.82
Year 3 PV (M)430,480.02443,461.83456,702.05
Year 4 PV (M)466,641.57485,498.35504,920.94
Year 5 PV (M)498,208.94523,500.30549,808.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,773,391.7220,777,179.2621,821,324.58
Equity Value (M)21,900,839.8422,972,957.5024,087,351.13
Shares Outstanding (M)3,952.503,952.503,952.50
Fair Value$5,541.01$5,812.26$6,094.20
Upside / Downside134.74%146.23%158.17%

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