Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Nippon Building Fund Incorporation (8951.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - OfficeSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$131,163.22 - $233,496.24$174,295.20
Multi-Stage$126,403.84 - $137,885.87$132,040.91
Blended Fair Value$153,168.05
Current Price$132,900.00
Upside15.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.27%6.15%4,915.854,599.654,996.604,406.943,651.503,460.693,157.092,987.042,727.872,568.04
YoY Growth--6.87%-7.94%13.38%20.69%5.51%9.62%5.69%9.50%6.22%-5.11%
Dividend Yield--4.02%3.76%4.25%3.29%3.05%2.18%2.28%2.71%2.11%2.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79,312.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41,809.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,503.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15,862.489,914.055,948.43
Cash Retained (M)37,503.4037,503.4037,503.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-15,862.48-9,914.05-5,948.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,640.9227,589.3531,554.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.508.508.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,544.503,243.903,710.17
LTM Dividend per Share4,915.824,915.824,915.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,544.503,243.903,710.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,460.328,159.728,625.99
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate4.03%5.03%6.03%
Fair Value$131,163.22$174,295.20$233,496.24
Upside / Downside-1.31%31.15%75.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79,312.4083,302.1487,492.5891,893.8296,516.46101,371.63104,412.78
Payout Ratio52.71%60.17%67.63%75.09%82.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41,809.0050,124.1259,170.0168,999.1579,667.4591,234.4796,581.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate4.03%5.03%6.03%
Year 1 PV (M)45,155.1045,589.1546,023.21
Year 2 PV (M)48,019.9548,947.5749,884.07
Year 3 PV (M)50,445.6651,914.4253,411.43
Year 4 PV (M)52,471.2054,518.0156,624.13
Year 5 PV (M)54,132.6256,784.8959,540.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)824,838.73865,252.37907,234.79
Equity Value (M)1,075,063.251,123,006.431,172,717.75
Shares Outstanding (M)8.508.508.50
Fair Value$126,403.84$132,040.91$137,885.87
Upside / Downside-4.89%-0.65%3.75%

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