Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Leopalace21 Corporation (8848.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$212.02 - $310.35$259.43
Multi-Stage$368.38 - $404.99$386.33
Blended Fair Value$322.88
Current Price$714.00
Upside-54.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%7.560.000.000.000.000.007.0613.2512.270.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-46.70%7.95%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.50%2.18%1.76%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,943.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,238.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,705.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,388.601,492.88895.73
Cash Retained (M)8,705.008,705.008,705.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,388.60-1,492.88-895.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,316.407,212.137,809.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)428.30428.30428.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.7516.8418.23
LTM Dividend per Share7.567.567.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.7516.8418.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.3124.4025.79
WACC / Discount Rate8.31%8.31%8.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$212.02$259.43$310.35
Upside / Downside-70.30%-63.67%-56.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,943.0011,823.5711,705.3311,588.2811,472.4011,357.6711,698.40
Payout Ratio27.11%39.69%52.27%64.84%77.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,238.004,692.746,118.067,514.408,882.2110,221.9110,821.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.31%8.31%8.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,288.894,332.664,376.42
Year 2 PV (M)5,110.365,215.185,321.07
Year 3 PV (M)5,736.555,913.966,094.98
Year 4 PV (M)6,197.216,454.056,718.80
Year 5 PV (M)6,518.176,857.597,211.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)129,925.78136,691.31143,735.80
Equity Value (M)157,776.96165,464.75173,458.07
Shares Outstanding (M)428.30428.30428.30
Fair Value$368.38$386.33$404.99
Upside / Downside-48.41%-45.89%-43.28%

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