Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Acom Co., Ltd. (8572.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$434.15 - $754.29$571.34
Multi-Stage$716.00 - $786.36$750.50
Blended Fair Value$660.92
Current Price$427.10
Upside54.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS34.09%0.00%13.0011.009.006.005.003.002.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--18.20%22.21%49.99%20.02%66.69%50.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.04%2.69%2.58%1.89%1.03%0.73%0.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52,612.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20,364.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)32,248.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,522.406,576.503,945.90
Cash Retained (M)32,248.0032,248.0032,248.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,522.40-6,576.50-3,945.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,725.6025,671.5028,302.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,566.611,566.611,566.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.8716.3918.07
LTM Dividend per Share13.0013.0013.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.8716.3918.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend26.8729.3931.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate0.60%1.60%2.60%
Fair Value$434.15$571.34$754.29
Upside / Downside1.65%33.77%76.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52,612.0053,452.4054,306.2355,173.7056,055.0256,950.4258,658.93
Payout Ratio38.71%48.96%59.22%69.48%79.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20,364.0026,172.8632,162.1038,336.0144,698.9551,255.3854,259.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate0.60%1.60%2.60%
Year 1 PV (M)24,260.0624,501.2224,742.38
Year 2 PV (M)27,632.8528,184.9528,742.52
Year 3 PV (M)30,530.1331,449.6832,387.50
Year 4 PV (M)32,995.8734,327.5635,699.16
Year 5 PV (M)35,070.5336,848.6538,698.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)971,198.461,020,439.321,071,657.48
Equity Value (M)1,121,687.911,175,751.381,231,927.20
Shares Outstanding (M)1,566.611,566.611,566.61
Fair Value$716.00$750.50$786.36
Upside / Downside67.64%75.72%84.12%

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