Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

TradeGo FinTech Limited (8017.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.78 - $1.12$0.94
Multi-Stage$1.27 - $1.39$1.33
Blended Fair Value$1.13
Current Price$0.33
Upside249.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.000.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-12.63%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.44%0.00%7.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.64%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)65.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.198.244.95
Cash Retained (M)36.1236.1236.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.19-8.24-4.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.9327.8831.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)584.89584.89584.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.78$0.94$1.12
Upside / Downside139.63%190.36%243.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)65.9465.2864.6363.9863.3462.7164.59
Payout Ratio45.22%54.18%63.13%72.09%81.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.8235.3740.8046.1251.3456.4459.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)32.0232.3432.67
Year 2 PV (M)33.4434.1234.82
Year 3 PV (M)34.2235.2836.36
Year 4 PV (M)34.4835.9137.38
Year 5 PV (M)34.3136.1037.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)572.08601.87632.88
Equity Value (M)740.54775.61812.06
Shares Outstanding (M)584.89584.89584.89
Fair Value$1.27$1.33$1.39
Upside / Downside289.58%308.03%327.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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