Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Marubeni Corporation (8002.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,610.44 - $18,814.73$11,381.60
Multi-Stage$5,341.59 - $5,833.83$5,583.26
Blended Fair Value$8,482.43
Current Price$3,698.00
Upside129.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS19.75%12.79%89.0983.6976.8449.8429.8936.1737.2227.2620.9724.64
YoY Growth--6.45%8.91%54.17%66.75%-17.36%-2.81%36.54%30.00%-14.89%-7.84%
Dividend Yield--3.06%2.80%3.15%4.07%3.09%7.42%5.02%3.23%2.89%5.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)570,338.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)157,575.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)412,763.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)114,067.6071,292.2542,775.35
Cash Retained (M)412,763.00412,763.00412,763.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-114,067.60-71,292.25-42,775.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)298,695.40341,470.75369,987.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,655.391,655.391,655.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share180.44206.28223.50
LTM Dividend per Share95.1995.1995.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share180.44206.28223.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend275.63301.47318.69
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,610.44$11,381.60$18,814.73
Upside / Downside105.80%207.78%408.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)570,338.00607,409.97646,891.62688,939.57733,720.65781,412.49804,854.86
Payout Ratio27.63%40.10%52.58%65.05%77.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)157,575.00243,587.69340,116.29448,164.43568,821.85703,271.24744,490.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)220,726.78222,818.98224,911.18
Year 2 PV (M)279,271.62284,590.96289,960.48
Year 3 PV (M)333,454.40343,026.67352,780.41
Year 4 PV (M)383,508.52398,257.18413,427.19
Year 5 PV (M)429,656.40450,408.97471,955.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,195,805.137,543,365.217,904,227.23
Equity Value (M)8,842,422.859,242,467.969,657,262.27
Shares Outstanding (M)1,655.391,655.391,655.39
Fair Value$5,341.59$5,583.26$5,833.83
Upside / Downside44.45%50.98%57.76%

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