Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

FP Corporation (7947.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,715.08 - $9,276.45$5,574.32
Multi-Stage$4,306.27 - $4,722.98$4,510.70
Blended Fair Value$5,042.51
Current Price$2,654.00
Upside90.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.58%7.01%56.9547.5647.5546.0441.9241.4241.4440.8238.3630.22
YoY Growth--19.73%0.03%3.28%9.82%1.22%-0.06%1.51%6.42%26.92%4.49%
Dividend Yield--2.15%1.97%1.62%1.62%1.02%0.96%1.24%1.33%1.26%1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,838.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,970.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,868.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,767.601,729.751,037.85
Cash Retained (M)8,868.008,868.008,868.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,767.60-1,729.75-1,037.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,100.407,138.257,830.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.8680.8680.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share75.4488.2796.83
LTM Dividend per Share61.4661.4661.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share75.4488.2796.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend136.90149.74158.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Fair Value$3,715.08$5,574.32$9,276.45
Upside / Downside39.98%110.03%249.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,838.0014,364.4714,910.9715,478.2516,067.1316,678.4017,178.75
Payout Ratio35.92%46.73%57.55%68.37%79.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,970.006,712.878,581.1610,581.9012,722.4515,010.5615,890.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Year 1 PV (M)6,237.006,297.676,358.34
Year 2 PV (M)7,407.677,552.487,698.70
Year 3 PV (M)8,487.258,737.348,992.29
Year 4 PV (M)9,480.739,855.0310,240.31
Year 5 PV (M)10,392.8710,908.2711,443.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)306,216.81321,402.54337,184.85
Equity Value (M)348,222.34364,753.34381,918.40
Shares Outstanding (M)80.8680.8680.86
Fair Value$4,306.27$4,510.70$4,722.98
Upside / Downside62.26%69.96%77.96%

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