Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Fuji Seal International, Inc. (7864.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,058.17 - $7,203.51$5,386.50
Multi-Stage$3,919.22 - $4,285.61$4,099.05
Blended Fair Value$4,742.77
Current Price$2,849.00
Upside66.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.08%12.56%74.4335.6735.6533.7233.0933.8326.5323.3222.7922.26
YoY Growth--108.66%0.05%5.74%1.89%-2.19%27.50%13.78%2.32%2.38%-2.33%
Dividend Yield--2.67%1.47%2.35%2.29%1.42%1.61%0.77%0.59%0.74%1.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,646.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,699.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,947.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,129.201,955.751,173.45
Cash Retained (M)11,947.0011,947.0011,947.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,129.20-1,955.75-1,173.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,817.809,991.2510,773.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.7453.7453.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share164.07185.91200.46
LTM Dividend per Share68.8368.8368.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share164.07185.91200.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend232.90254.73269.29
WACC / Discount Rate9.65%9.65%9.65%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Fair Value$4,058.17$5,386.50$7,203.51
Upside / Downside42.44%89.07%152.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,646.0016,381.6917,151.9717,958.4718,802.8919,687.0120,277.62
Payout Ratio23.64%36.91%50.19%63.46%76.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,699.006,047.058,607.7311,395.8514,427.1517,718.3118,756.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.65%9.65%9.65%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Year 1 PV (M)5,462.015,514.695,567.36
Year 2 PV (M)7,022.767,158.857,296.25
Year 3 PV (M)8,397.998,643.298,893.31
Year 4 PV (M)9,603.259,979.0610,365.80
Year 5 PV (M)10,652.9511,176.5811,720.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)169,493.56177,824.83186,480.55
Equity Value (M)210,632.52220,297.30230,323.87
Shares Outstanding (M)53.7453.7453.74
Fair Value$3,919.22$4,099.05$4,285.61
Upside / Downside37.56%43.88%50.43%

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