Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Ricoh Company, Ltd. (7752.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,525.12 - $7,403.05$3,978.62
Multi-Stage$8,916.42 - $9,839.49$9,368.81
Blended Fair Value$6,673.71
Current Price$1,306.50
Upside410.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.15%-0.98%38.3737.1832.5024.5225.9032.8622.1225.2950.5743.62
YoY Growth--3.21%14.40%32.56%-5.34%-21.18%48.53%-12.51%-50.00%15.94%2.98%
Dividend Yield--2.81%2.65%2.66%2.31%2.08%4.27%2.06%2.49%5.10%4.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61,018.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21,960.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)39,058.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,203.607,627.254,576.35
Cash Retained (M)39,058.0039,058.0039,058.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,203.60-7,627.25-4,576.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,854.4031,430.7534,481.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)573.37573.37573.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share46.8454.8260.14
LTM Dividend per Share38.3038.3038.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share46.8454.8260.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend85.1493.1298.44
WACC / Discount Rate2.60%2.60%2.60%
Growth Rate-0.75%0.25%1.25%
Fair Value$2,525.12$3,978.62$7,403.05
Upside / Downside93.27%204.52%466.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61,018.0061,172.2961,326.9761,482.0461,637.5061,793.3563,647.15
Payout Ratio35.99%46.79%57.59%68.40%79.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21,960.0028,623.4335,320.4342,051.1048,815.5955,614.0258,873.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.60%2.60%2.60%
Growth Rate-0.75%0.25%1.25%
Year 1 PV (M)27,620.0227,898.3028,176.58
Year 2 PV (M)32,887.4633,553.5034,226.22
Year 3 PV (M)37,781.9238,935.4640,112.24
Year 4 PV (M)42,322.1344,053.7045,837.88
Year 5 PV (M)46,525.9748,917.4951,406.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,925,290.905,178,459.605,441,933.54
Equity Value (M)5,112,428.415,371,818.055,641,692.81
Shares Outstanding (M)573.37573.37573.37
Fair Value$8,916.42$9,368.81$9,839.49
Upside / Downside582.47%617.09%653.12%

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