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Definitive Analysis

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SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. (7735.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,207.25 - $38,800.41$25,891.49
Multi-Stage$13,524.00 - $14,757.57$14,129.68
Blended Fair Value$20,010.59
Current Price$13,460.00
Upside48.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS41.07%42.92%264.13263.65142.7843.9014.7747.2753.5742.4429.5617.33
YoY Growth--0.18%84.65%225.21%197.18%-68.75%-11.76%26.23%43.59%70.56%133.29%
Dividend Yield--2.25%1.84%1.76%0.96%0.27%1.88%2.20%1.09%0.79%0.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92,485.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,716.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)62,769.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,497.0011,560.636,936.38
Cash Retained (M)62,769.0062,769.0062,769.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,497.00-11,560.63-6,936.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)44,272.0051,208.3855,832.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)95.8595.8595.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share461.90534.27582.51
LTM Dividend per Share310.03310.03310.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share461.90534.27582.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend771.93844.30892.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18,207.25$25,891.49$38,800.41
Upside / Downside35.27%92.36%188.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92,485.0098,496.53104,898.80111,717.22118,978.84126,712.47130,513.84
Payout Ratio32.13%43.70%55.28%66.85%78.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,716.0043,047.4157,986.3574,685.4793,310.49114,041.22120,725.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)38,776.1139,143.6639,511.20
Year 2 PV (M)47,050.0747,946.2448,850.86
Year 3 PV (M)54,586.8356,153.8257,750.52
Year 4 PV (M)61,432.6863,795.2166,225.23
Year 5 PV (M)67,631.3670,897.9874,289.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,026,768.061,076,361.341,127,852.68
Equity Value (M)1,296,245.111,354,298.251,414,480.12
Shares Outstanding (M)95.8595.8595.85
Fair Value$13,524.00$14,129.68$14,757.57
Upside / Downside0.48%4.98%9.64%

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