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Definitive Analysis

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Fuso Dentsu Co., Ltd. (7505.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,190.39 - $14,343.98$8,036.14
Multi-Stage$4,302.31 - $4,710.82$4,502.79
Blended Fair Value$6,269.46
Current Price$1,637.00
Upside282.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019
DPS22.30%0.00%48.5430.8515.7035.3522.6317.7415.520.000.000.00
YoY Growth--57.32%96.52%-55.59%56.18%27.59%14.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.96%3.46%2.11%6.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,517.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)562.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,954.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)503.48314.68188.81
Cash Retained (M)1,954.441,954.441,954.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-503.48-314.68-188.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,450.961,639.761,765.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.6011.6011.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share125.06141.33152.18
LTM Dividend per Share48.5248.5248.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share125.06141.33152.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend173.58189.85200.70
WACC / Discount Rate7.75%7.75%7.75%
Growth Rate4.26%5.26%6.26%
Fair Value$5,190.39$8,036.14$14,343.98
Upside / Downside217.07%390.91%776.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,517.402,649.912,789.392,936.213,090.763,253.443,351.04
Payout Ratio22.36%35.89%49.42%62.95%76.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)562.96951.061,378.451,848.202,363.582,928.103,099.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.75%7.75%7.75%
Growth Rate4.26%5.26%6.26%
Year 1 PV (M)874.26882.65891.03
Year 2 PV (M)1,164.831,187.281,209.94
Year 3 PV (M)1,435.671,477.381,519.88
Year 4 PV (M)1,687.771,753.451,821.04
Year 5 PV (M)1,922.042,016.002,113.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,831.8244,925.6147,100.50
Equity Value (M)49,916.3952,242.3754,656.00
Shares Outstanding (M)11.6011.6011.60
Fair Value$4,302.31$4,502.79$4,710.82
Upside / Downside162.82%175.06%187.77%

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