Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Doshisha Co.,Ltd. (7483.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,370.82 - $3,742.11$2,997.73
Multi-Stage$2,023.87 - $2,200.73$2,110.75
Blended Fair Value$2,554.24
Current Price$2,825.00
Upside-9.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.31%7.76%77.9167.5658.2559.6150.5352.2652.4350.7351.2441.77
YoY Growth--15.32%15.97%-2.28%17.96%-3.30%-0.32%3.34%-0.99%22.68%13.18%
Dividend Yield--3.14%2.86%2.52%3.79%2.92%3.20%2.99%2.02%2.40%2.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,835.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,967.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,868.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,567.00979.38587.63
Cash Retained (M)4,868.004,868.004,868.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,567.00-979.38-587.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,301.003,888.634,280.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.3635.3635.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share93.35109.96121.04
LTM Dividend per Share83.9083.9083.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share93.35109.96121.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend177.25193.86204.94
WACC / Discount Rate13.39%13.39%13.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,370.82$2,997.73$3,742.11
Upside / Downside-16.08%6.11%32.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,835.008,344.288,886.659,464.2910,079.4610,734.6311,056.67
Payout Ratio37.87%48.29%58.72%69.15%79.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,967.004,029.855,218.346,544.318,020.609,661.1710,227.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate13.39%13.39%13.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,520.693,554.063,587.43
Year 2 PV (M)3,982.994,058.854,135.43
Year 3 PV (M)4,363.934,489.214,616.85
Year 4 PV (M)4,672.614,852.315,037.13
Year 5 PV (M)4,917.235,154.735,401.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,113.0252,533.5055,046.62
Equity Value (M)71,570.4774,642.6577,824.79
Shares Outstanding (M)35.3635.3635.36
Fair Value$2,023.87$2,110.75$2,200.73
Upside / Downside-28.36%-25.28%-22.10%

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