Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Suzuden Corporation (7480.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,502.28 - $2,584.80$1,969.26
Multi-Stage$2,723.21 - $2,985.98$2,852.09
Blended Fair Value$2,410.68
Current Price$1,702.00
Upside41.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.59%14.82%106.60167.66173.7279.2570.04128.0157.8344.7846.9546.46
YoY Growth---36.42%-3.49%119.19%13.16%-45.29%121.37%29.13%-4.63%1.06%73.58%
Dividend Yield--6.06%8.50%7.80%4.16%4.71%10.76%4.26%2.88%3.72%5.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,669.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,466.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)203.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)333.87208.67125.20
Cash Retained (M)203.08203.08203.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-333.87-208.67-125.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)-130.79-5.5977.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.0214.0214.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share-9.33-0.405.55
LTM Dividend per Share104.55104.55104.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share-9.33-0.405.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend95.22104.15110.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate0.30%1.30%2.30%
Fair Value$1,502.28$1,969.26$2,584.80
Upside / Downside-11.73%15.70%51.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,669.331,691.021,713.001,735.261,757.811,780.651,834.07
Payout Ratio87.83%88.27%88.70%89.13%89.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,466.261,492.631,519.451,546.701,574.411,602.581,696.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate0.30%1.30%2.30%
Year 1 PV (M)1,385.651,399.471,413.29
Year 2 PV (M)1,309.451,335.691,362.20
Year 3 PV (M)1,237.411,274.791,312.92
Year 4 PV (M)1,169.311,216.641,265.40
Year 5 PV (M)1,104.921,161.121,219.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,985.5233,612.1335,304.26
Equity Value (M)38,192.2739,999.8541,877.63
Shares Outstanding (M)14.0214.0214.02
Fair Value$2,723.21$2,852.09$2,985.98
Upside / Downside60.00%67.57%75.44%

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