Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ASIRO Inc. (7378.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$880.70 - $1,280.43$1,074.35
Multi-Stage$1,472.55 - $1,619.16$1,544.43
Blended Fair Value$1,309.39
Current Price$1,734.00
Upside-24.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%13.4413.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%1.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)869.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)175.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)693.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)173.91108.6965.21
Cash Retained (M)693.79693.79693.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-173.91-108.69-65.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)519.88585.10628.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.297.297.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share71.2780.2186.17
LTM Dividend per Share24.0924.0924.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share71.2780.2186.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend95.36104.30110.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.61%8.61%8.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$880.70$1,074.35$1,280.43
Upside / Downside-49.21%-38.04%-26.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)869.53860.83852.22843.70835.26826.91851.72
Payout Ratio20.21%34.17%48.13%62.08%76.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)175.74294.13410.14523.81635.15744.22787.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.61%8.61%8.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)268.08270.81273.55
Year 2 PV (M)340.70347.69354.75
Year 3 PV (M)396.57408.83421.35
Year 4 PV (M)438.27456.44475.16
Year 5 PV (M)468.04492.41517.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,830.139,289.949,768.70
Equity Value (M)10,741.7911,266.1211,811.29
Shares Outstanding (M)7.297.297.29
Fair Value$1,472.55$1,544.43$1,619.16
Upside / Downside-15.08%-10.93%-6.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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