Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Favelle Favco Berhad (7229.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.44 - $3.68$3.02
Multi-Stage$5.16 - $5.69$5.42
Blended Fair Value$4.22
Current Price$1.63
Upside158.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.81%-0.22%0.090.040.920.080.140.130.130.140.140.11
YoY Growth--126.57%-95.70%1,112.49%-46.67%11.55%0.75%-10.00%0.00%26.44%21.32%
Dividend Yield--5.25%1.82%48.48%2.76%6.19%6.83%4.92%5.47%5.15%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.448.405.04
Cash Retained (M)46.0046.0046.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.44-8.40-5.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.5537.6040.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)237.07237.07237.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-2.22%-1.22%-0.22%
Fair Value$2.44$3.02$3.68
Upside / Downside49.40%85.44%125.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67.2266.4065.5964.7863.9963.2165.10
Payout Ratio31.57%43.26%54.94%66.63%78.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.2228.7236.0443.1650.1156.8960.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-2.22%-1.22%-0.22%
Year 1 PV (M)26.6026.8727.15
Year 2 PV (M)30.9131.5432.19
Year 3 PV (M)34.2935.3536.44
Year 4 PV (M)36.8738.4039.98
Year 5 PV (M)38.7640.7842.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,056.671,111.821,169.26
Equity Value (M)1,224.101,284.771,347.89
Shares Outstanding (M)237.07237.07237.07
Fair Value$5.16$5.42$5.69
Upside / Downside216.77%232.47%248.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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