Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Neousys Technology Inc. (6922.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.15 - $84.94$71.08
Multi-Stage$104.43 - $114.54$109.39
Blended Fair Value$90.24
Current Price$196.00
Upside-53.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%3.504.993.112.151.490.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---29.84%60.68%44.74%43.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.12%4.44%2.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)201.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)123.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.2925.1815.11
Cash Retained (M)77.9577.9577.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.29-25.18-15.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.6652.7762.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1026.1026.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.442.022.41
LTM Dividend per Share4.734.734.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.442.022.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.176.757.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$58.15$71.08$84.94
Upside / Downside-70.33%-63.73%-56.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)201.43199.41197.42195.45193.49191.56197.30
Payout Ratio61.30%67.04%72.78%78.52%84.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)123.48133.69143.69153.47163.04172.40182.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)122.08123.33124.57
Year 2 PV (M)119.81122.27124.75
Year 3 PV (M)116.86120.47124.16
Year 4 PV (M)113.36118.06122.90
Year 5 PV (M)109.46115.16121.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,144.462,256.122,372.40
Equity Value (M)2,726.042,855.422,989.89
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1026.1026.10
Fair Value$104.43$109.39$114.54
Upside / Downside-46.72%-44.19%-41.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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