Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lasertec Corporation (6920.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19,698.12 - $41,776.21$27,963.60
Multi-Stage$14,641.91 - $15,977.92$15,297.89
Blended Fair Value$21,630.74
Current Price$20,305.00
Upside6.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS54.40%44.72%271.81200.85116.9186.9346.9630.9818.9819.9812.7411.49
YoY Growth--35.33%71.80%34.49%85.10%51.61%63.16%-5.00%56.86%10.87%70.39%
Dividend Yield--1.34%0.85%0.50%0.59%0.18%0.36%0.56%1.05%1.10%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94,779.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,672.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)65,107.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,955.8011,847.387,108.43
Cash Retained (M)65,107.0065,107.0065,107.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,955.80-11,847.38-7,108.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)46,151.2053,259.6357,998.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.2590.2590.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share511.37590.13642.64
LTM Dividend per Share328.78328.78328.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share511.37590.13642.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend840.15918.91971.42
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19,698.12$27,963.60$41,776.21
Upside / Downside-2.99%37.72%105.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94,779.00100,939.64107,500.71114,488.26121,929.99129,855.44133,751.11
Payout Ratio31.31%43.05%54.78%66.52%78.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,672.0043,449.6858,893.0976,160.5795,424.00116,869.90123,719.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39,128.9339,499.8239,870.71
Year 2 PV (M)47,762.5148,672.2549,590.57
Year 3 PV (M)55,624.2757,221.0558,848.09
Year 4 PV (M)62,762.9365,176.6167,659.25
Year 5 PV (M)69,224.4772,568.0376,039.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,046,928.951,097,496.011,149,998.39
Equity Value (M)1,321,432.051,380,633.771,442,006.58
Shares Outstanding (M)90.2590.2590.25
Fair Value$14,641.91$15,297.89$15,977.92
Upside / Downside-27.89%-24.66%-21.31%

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