Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HD Renewable Energy Co., Ltd. (6873.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$205.97 - $1,134.40$397.46
Multi-Stage$123.49 - $134.74$129.01
Blended Fair Value$263.23
Current Price$126.00
Upside108.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS76.64%0.00%2.842.781.180.700.000.170.130.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.00%135.29%70.00%0.00%-100.00%26.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.58%1.99%1.00%1.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)819.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)644.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)175.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)163.88102.4261.45
Cash Retained (M)175.17175.17175.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-163.88-102.42-61.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.2972.74113.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)143.65143.65143.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.510.79
LTM Dividend per Share4.484.484.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.510.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.564.995.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$205.97$397.46$1,134.40
Upside / Downside63.47%215.44%800.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)819.40872.66929.38989.791,054.131,122.641,156.32
Payout Ratio78.62%80.90%83.17%85.45%87.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)644.23705.96773.00845.76924.731,010.381,069.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)648.51654.65660.80
Year 2 PV (M)652.30664.72677.26
Year 3 PV (M)655.62674.44693.61
Year 4 PV (M)658.49683.81709.86
Year 5 PV (M)660.92692.85725.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,463.6815,162.2815,887.62
Equity Value (M)17,739.5118,532.7519,355.14
Shares Outstanding (M)143.65143.65143.65
Fair Value$123.49$129.01$134.74
Upside / Downside-1.99%2.39%6.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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