Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cica-Huntek Chemical Technology Taiwan Co., Ltd. (6725.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$576.32 - $1,362.02$849.48
Multi-Stage$2,375.20 - $2,624.54$2,497.37
Blended Fair Value$1,673.42
Current Price$217.00
Upside671.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%6.911.680.990.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--311.76%70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.44%1.47%1.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)981.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)287.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)694.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)196.37122.7373.64
Cash Retained (M)694.75694.75694.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-196.37-122.73-73.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)498.38572.02621.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.4433.4433.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.9017.1018.57
LTM Dividend per Share8.588.588.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.9017.1018.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.4925.6927.16
WACC / Discount Rate1.99%1.99%1.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$576.32$849.48$1,362.02
Upside / Downside165.59%291.46%527.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)981.85972.03962.31952.69943.16933.73961.74
Payout Ratio29.24%41.39%53.54%65.70%77.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)287.10402.35515.26625.88734.23840.35889.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.99%1.99%1.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)390.50394.48398.47
Year 2 PV (M)485.36495.31505.37
Year 3 PV (M)572.19589.89607.94
Year 4 PV (M)651.48678.48706.31
Year 5 PV (M)723.68761.36800.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,609.4080,598.6384,752.34
Equity Value (M)79,432.6183,518.1687,771.03
Shares Outstanding (M)33.4433.4433.44
Fair Value$2,375.20$2,497.37$2,624.54
Upside / Downside994.56%1,050.86%1,109.46%

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