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Definitive Analysis

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JVCKENWOOD Corporation (6632.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,856.45 - $3,495.86$2,521.87
Multi-Stage$1,991.78 - $2,183.39$2,085.79
Blended Fair Value$2,303.83
Current Price$1,155.00
Upside99.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS21.13%0.00%16.9612.986.485.425.426.505.514.594.594.59
YoY Growth--30.70%100.10%19.66%0.00%-16.68%18.01%20.03%0.00%0.14%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.44%1.31%3.06%2.29%3.99%2.15%1.46%1.37%2.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18,220.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,234.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,986.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,644.002,277.501,366.50
Cash Retained (M)15,986.0015,986.0015,986.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,644.00-2,277.50-1,366.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,342.0013,708.5014,619.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)151.13151.13151.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share81.6790.7196.74
LTM Dividend per Share14.7814.7814.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share81.6790.7196.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend96.45105.49111.52
WACC / Discount Rate8.26%8.26%8.26%
Growth Rate2.92%3.92%4.92%
Fair Value$1,856.45$2,521.87$3,495.86
Upside / Downside60.73%118.34%202.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18,220.0018,933.5719,675.0820,445.6321,246.3622,078.4522,740.80
Payout Ratio12.26%27.81%43.36%58.90%74.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,234.005,265.248,530.4712,043.4015,818.3919,870.6021,035.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.26%8.26%8.26%
Growth Rate2.92%3.92%4.92%
Year 1 PV (M)4,816.564,863.364,910.16
Year 2 PV (M)7,138.587,277.987,418.73
Year 3 PV (M)9,219.509,490.879,767.51
Year 4 PV (M)11,077.4611,514.3211,963.97
Year 5 PV (M)12,729.4113,359.9814,015.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)256,030.35268,713.19281,893.74
Equity Value (M)301,011.87315,219.71329,969.41
Shares Outstanding (M)151.13151.13151.13
Fair Value$1,991.78$2,085.79$2,183.39
Upside / Downside72.45%80.59%89.04%

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