Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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QB Net Holdings Co.,Ltd. (6571.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,288.18 - $8,890.44$3,877.45
Multi-Stage$1,955.14 - $2,141.07$2,046.38
Blended Fair Value$2,961.91
Current Price$1,361.00
Upside117.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.36%0.00%26.4419.429.710.000.0017.7016.510.000.000.00
YoY Growth--36.15%100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%7.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.94%1.79%0.60%0.00%0.00%0.96%0.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,057.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)461.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)596.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)211.40132.1379.28
Cash Retained (M)596.00596.00596.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-211.40-132.13-79.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)384.60463.88516.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.3913.3913.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.7334.6538.60
LTM Dividend per Share34.4334.4334.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.7334.6538.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend63.1669.0873.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Fair Value$2,288.18$3,877.45$8,890.44
Upside / Downside68.13%184.90%553.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,057.001,109.831,165.301,223.541,284.691,348.901,389.37
Payout Ratio43.61%52.89%62.17%71.45%80.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)461.00587.00724.45874.171,037.041,214.011,285.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Year 1 PV (M)544.04549.27554.50
Year 2 PV (M)622.29634.32646.46
Year 3 PV (M)695.94716.21736.87
Year 4 PV (M)765.19795.05825.77
Year 5 PV (M)830.21870.90913.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,717.2123,830.6124,987.25
Equity Value (M)26,174.8927,396.3628,664.02
Shares Outstanding (M)13.3913.3913.39
Fair Value$1,955.14$2,046.38$2,141.07
Upside / Downside43.65%50.36%57.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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