Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PHC Holdings Corporation (6523.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$374.42 - $557.34$461.56
Multi-Stage$749.45 - $821.59$784.83
Blended Fair Value$623.19
Current Price$979.00
Upside-36.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%38.8771.4872.710.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---45.62%-1.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.26%6.10%4.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,825.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,297.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)528.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,165.00728.13436.88
Cash Retained (M)528.00528.00528.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,165.00-728.13-436.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)-637.00-200.1391.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)126.47126.47126.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share-5.04-1.580.72
LTM Dividend per Share41.8841.8841.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share-5.04-1.580.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend36.8540.3042.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$374.42$461.56$557.34
Upside / Downside-61.75%-52.85%-43.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,825.005,766.755,709.085,651.995,595.475,539.525,705.70
Payout Ratio90.94%90.75%90.56%90.37%90.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,297.005,233.245,170.225,107.955,046.404,985.575,277.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,812.504,861.614,910.71
Year 2 PV (M)4,372.304,461.984,552.58
Year 3 PV (M)3,972.344,095.194,220.54
Year 4 PV (M)3,608.963,758.533,912.71
Year 5 PV (M)3,278.803,449.533,627.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)74,737.2478,628.9882,681.18
Equity Value (M)94,782.1399,255.82103,905.03
Shares Outstanding (M)126.47126.47126.47
Fair Value$749.45$784.83$821.59
Upside / Downside-23.45%-19.83%-16.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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