Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Taiwan Hopax Chems.Mfg.Co.,Ltd. (6509.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$427.90 - $504.14$472.45
Multi-Stage$91.94 - $100.65$96.21
Blended Fair Value$284.33
Current Price$34.15
Upside732.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.46%10.04%1.051.161.050.840.600.510.340.390.480.32
YoY Growth---9.42%10.40%25.21%40.48%16.67%50.00%-13.43%-17.56%47.59%-19.72%
Dividend Yield--3.17%3.06%2.36%1.47%2.23%3.40%1.81%2.15%2.68%1.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)522.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)259.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)263.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)104.4765.2939.18
Cash Retained (M)263.00263.00263.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-104.47-65.29-39.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)158.54197.71223.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)206.05206.05206.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.961.09
LTM Dividend per Share1.261.261.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.961.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.032.222.34
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$427.90$472.45$504.14
Upside / Downside1,153.00%1,283.46%1,376.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)522.34556.29592.45630.96671.97715.65737.12
Payout Ratio49.65%57.72%65.79%73.86%81.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)259.34321.09389.77466.03550.55644.09681.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)300.44303.28306.13
Year 2 PV (M)341.24347.74354.31
Year 3 PV (M)381.76392.72403.89
Year 4 PV (M)421.99438.22454.92
Year 5 PV (M)461.94484.25507.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,036.4517,859.3218,713.68
Equity Value (M)18,943.8319,825.5420,740.34
Shares Outstanding (M)206.05206.05206.05
Fair Value$91.94$96.21$100.65
Upside / Downside169.21%181.74%194.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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