Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Will Group, Inc. (6089.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$768.18 - $1,303.12$1,001.06
Multi-Stage$672.68 - $730.35$701.01
Blended Fair Value$851.04
Current Price$933.00
Upside-8.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.38%32.48%44.1043.9733.8523.5622.2917.4517.3211.218.294.96
YoY Growth--0.30%29.90%43.70%5.68%27.75%0.76%54.47%35.26%67.20%87.18%
Dividend Yield--4.73%4.28%3.07%2.05%2.20%2.58%1.87%1.05%0.87%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,366.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,018.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)348.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)273.20170.75102.45
Cash Retained (M)348.00348.00348.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-273.20-170.75-102.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.80177.25245.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.9222.9222.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.267.7310.71
LTM Dividend per Share44.4144.4144.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.267.7310.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend47.6752.1455.12
WACC / Discount Rate12.05%12.05%12.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$768.18$1,001.06$1,303.12
Upside / Downside-17.67%7.29%39.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,366.001,454.791,549.351,650.061,757.311,871.541,927.68
Payout Ratio74.52%77.62%80.71%83.81%86.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,018.001,129.201,250.551,382.911,527.191,684.381,783.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.05%12.05%12.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)998.331,007.791,017.25
Year 2 PV (M)977.48996.091,014.89
Year 3 PV (M)955.65983.091,011.04
Year 4 PV (M)933.04968.931,005.83
Year 5 PV (M)909.81953.76999.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,645.8711,160.0711,693.95
Equity Value (M)15,420.1916,069.7316,742.35
Shares Outstanding (M)22.9222.9222.92
Fair Value$672.68$701.01$730.35
Upside / Downside-27.90%-24.86%-21.72%

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