Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chongqing Chuanyi Automation Co., Ltd. (603100.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.46 - $59.85$39.36
Multi-Stage$20.51 - $22.37$21.42
Blended Fair Value$30.39
Current Price$23.93
Upside27.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.47%21.26%0.630.520.520.280.220.250.200.150.100.10
YoY Growth--21.95%0.15%82.34%28.00%-11.00%24.11%29.59%57.33%0.00%7.12%
Dividend Yield--2.95%2.31%1.79%2.57%1.94%3.77%2.34%1.94%0.91%0.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)681.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)291.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)390.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.3385.2151.12
Cash Retained (M)390.09390.09390.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.33-85.21-51.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)253.76304.88338.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)481.18481.18481.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.630.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.630.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.131.241.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.46$39.36$59.85
Upside / Downside14.76%64.49%150.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)681.64725.95773.14823.39876.91933.91961.93
Payout Ratio42.77%52.22%61.66%71.11%80.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)291.56379.08476.74585.51706.39840.52889.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)341.83345.08348.32
Year 2 PV (M)387.67395.05402.51
Year 3 PV (M)429.34441.66454.22
Year 4 PV (M)467.09485.05503.53
Year 5 PV (M)501.18525.38550.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,741.238,115.138,503.34
Equity Value (M)9,868.3310,307.3510,762.43
Shares Outstanding (M)481.18481.18481.18
Fair Value$20.51$21.42$22.37
Upside / Downside-14.30%-10.49%-6.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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