Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Hangzhou Heatwell Electric Heating Technology Co., Ltd. (603075.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$133.01 - $156.70$146.85
Multi-Stage$94.65 - $103.81$99.14
Blended Fair Value$123.00
Current Price$22.96
Upside435.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS10.08%0.00%0.510.310.320.260.370.320.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--67.18%-4.70%25.47%-30.26%15.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.38%1.53%0.82%0.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)317.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)286.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)31.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)63.4539.6623.79
Cash Retained (M)31.1831.1831.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-63.45-39.66-23.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)-32.27-8.477.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)402.64402.64402.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.710.710.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate1.59%1.59%1.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$133.01$146.85$156.70
Upside / Downside479.29%539.61%582.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)317.26337.88359.85383.24408.15434.68447.72
Payout Ratio90.17%90.14%90.10%90.07%90.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)286.08304.56324.23345.18367.47391.21414.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.59%1.59%1.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)296.97299.79302.60
Year 2 PV (M)308.28314.15320.08
Year 3 PV (M)320.02329.21338.57
Year 4 PV (M)332.20344.98358.12
Year 5 PV (M)344.85361.51378.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)36,506.5538,269.8240,100.59
Equity Value (M)38,108.8739,919.4641,798.76
Shares Outstanding (M)402.64402.64402.64
Fair Value$94.65$99.14$103.81
Upside / Downside312.22%331.81%352.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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