Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Zhuzhou Kibing Group Co.,Ltd (601636.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.98 - $42.89$15.68
Multi-Stage$4.67 - $5.10$4.88
Blended Fair Value$10.28
Current Price$7.18
Upside43.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.97%25.55%0.440.240.770.330.280.280.290.150.100.04
YoY Growth--81.53%-68.70%130.00%17.68%-0.09%-2.07%100.52%49.93%165.87%-19.12%
Dividend Yield--7.67%3.22%7.39%2.52%2.20%5.90%6.14%2.52%2.19%0.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)598.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)388.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)209.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.7374.8344.90
Cash Retained (M)209.89209.89209.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.73-74.83-44.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)90.16135.06164.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,775.742,775.742,775.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.98$15.68$42.89
Upside / Downside11.09%118.32%497.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)598.64637.55678.99723.13770.13820.19844.79
Payout Ratio64.94%69.95%74.96%79.98%84.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)388.75445.97508.99578.32654.51738.17781.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)409.89413.77417.66
Year 2 PV (M)429.96438.15446.41
Year 3 PV (M)448.99461.88475.01
Year 4 PV (M)467.03484.99503.46
Year 5 PV (M)484.10507.48531.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,716.5411,234.1511,771.58
Equity Value (M)12,956.5113,540.4314,145.88
Shares Outstanding (M)2,775.742,775.742,775.74
Fair Value$4.67$4.88$5.10
Upside / Downside-34.99%-32.06%-29.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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