Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Beijing Sifang Automation Co.,Ltd (601126.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$163.72 - $192.89$180.77
Multi-Stage$110.33 - $121.02$115.57
Blended Fair Value$148.17
Current Price$20.19
Upside633.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.58%15.61%0.600.600.490.950.170.170.190.200.190.14
YoY Growth---0.15%23.00%-48.98%473.19%-2.13%-10.42%-6.36%9.36%30.17%1.59%
Dividend Yield--3.52%3.88%3.35%7.38%2.05%2.86%2.82%2.92%1.78%1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)810.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)599.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)210.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)162.09101.3060.78
Cash Retained (M)210.47210.47210.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-162.09-101.30-60.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.39109.17149.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)835.55835.55835.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.130.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.130.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate2.66%2.66%2.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$163.72$180.77$192.89
Upside / Downside710.92%795.35%855.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)810.43863.11919.21978.961,042.591,110.361,143.67
Payout Ratio74.03%77.22%80.42%83.61%86.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)599.95666.52739.20818.52905.03999.321,057.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.66%2.66%2.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)643.14649.24655.34
Year 2 PV (M)688.27701.38714.61
Year 3 PV (M)735.39756.50778.01
Year 4 PV (M)784.60814.77845.81
Year 5 PV (M)835.96876.34918.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)88,495.7892,770.1697,208.13
Equity Value (M)92,183.1496,568.39101,120.15
Shares Outstanding (M)835.55835.55835.55
Fair Value$110.33$115.57$121.02
Upside / Downside446.44%472.43%499.41%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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